The Sub-prime Mortgage Crisis: A Vicious Cycle


The subprime mortgage crisis is an ongoing real estate crisis and fiscal crisis triggered by a spectacular increase in mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures in the United States, with major unfavorable repercussions for banks and monetary markets around the world. The crisis, which has its line in the closing years of the 20th century, became obvious in 2007 and has uncovered persistent weaknesses in pecuniary industry law and the worldwide financial structure

  • The direct grounds or cause of the crisis was the bursting of the United States housing bubble which peaked in roughly 2005–2006. Sky-scraping default rates on “subprime” and adjustable rate mortgages (ARM), started to augment rapidly thereafter. An augmentation in loan incentives such as simple early terms and a long-term tendency of increasing accommodation costs had encouraged borrowers to assume tricky mortgages in the conviction they would be capable of quickly refinancing at more constructive terms because of the increase in the equity of the home.
  • Most of the mortgages provided to the populace were adjustable rate mortgages which were linked to interest rates or some financial index. With fluctuations in such indices and a decrease in the prime lending rate led to people defaulting on their mortgages. Now since there were more foreclosures, there were many more homes available for sale. This high availability of homes further declined the price of the houses. Eventually the equity in houses also weakened which led to mortgages that were more expensive for consumers compared to the actual worth of the home. This led to people opting for strategic default in which people do have the finances to pay for the mortgage but choose not to pay.
  • This vicious cycle of dropping home prices along with a lowered equity and increasing number of foreclosures is at the heart of this crisis. Moreover, entities that invested in the U.S housing market were also hit hard and suffered losses when the prices of property fell dramatically. The reasons for this crisis are numerous; however the prime causes were sub-prime lending, government control (or lack thereof), the artificial boom due to enticing initial mortgage terms, increasing personal debt, and reduction in the amount of disposable income.
  • Some studies have shown that sub-prime lending practices to people who did not qualify for such mortgages is the main reason for this catastrophe. Mortgages were even made available to illegal immigrants and the percentage of sub-prime lending rose to 20% of all the mortgages in the market. In addition to this, lenders offered increasingly risky loans to people without making room for sufficient down payment. Numerous people did not pay the down payment amount which exacerbated the losses faced by banks and borrowers alike. Furthermore many lenders started to provide loans without verifying the income and assets and liabilities of the borrower. These guidelines got looser and looser which made borrowing easier and foreclosures were the inevitable outcome.
  • During the year 2007, many investors took out their money from mortgage bonds which had become a very risky investment. This money that was taken out from these bonds was then invested in commodities such as food and raw materials. Financial speculation in the commodity futures followed by a collapse in the financial derivative market led to the worldwide food crisis and increase in oil prices. This further added fuel to the flame and many people found themselves out of work and in personal debt. It is not incorrect to state that the recent recession is partly due to this huge boom and bust in the U.S housing market. Many foreign investors also suffered due to this crisis and lost millions of dollars. Mortgage firms and major banks wrote off many mortgages which even led to job losses in top management of many of these banks and companies.
  • The impact of this sub-prime mortgage crisis is apparent as many banks and financial institutions suffered huge losses. This meant that a lesser amount of credit was made available in the year 2008 and banks and households along with other businesses are still reeling from this huge financial blow. The losses are estimated to be a staggering USD 2.8 trillion by the end of 2009 in U.S and European markets. Many governments around the world had to bail out major companies such as car manufacturers and banks since they were either insolvent or incapable of lending or functioning in a profitable manner.
  • According to some estimates 9 million homes may enter foreclosure by the end of 2009-11 period which is nine times the normal foreclosure figures in the United States. Government bail outs and better fiscal and monetary policies have not helped much. Moreover, a foreclosure is not a profitable outcome for any of the parties involved in a mortgage. This means that this vicious cycle of increasing foreclosures and consequently less equity in homes which further leads to more foreclosures goes unabated.
  • The implications of this calamity are distressing as many experts believe that because of this vicious cycle in the sub-prime mortgage crisis the spending that sustained the economy in the pre-crisis era is not coming back. Some experts believe that the crisis will come to an end when the deflation in prices of homes comes to an end. However, the fact remains that it will take huge losses and government intervention in order to bring an end to this crisis that seems to be feeding off of itself and snowballing out of control.

If you have any more facts or points to share about this subject, please feel free to leave a comment.

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